Away · model win chance 35%
70
La Salle Explorers
Home · model win chance 65%
75
Preview · Sun 11/15, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · John Glaser Arena, Philadelphia, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Temple vs. La Salle prediction: model has La Salle by 5

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Temple (1-2) visits La Salle at John Glaser Arena in Philadelphia Sunday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes La Salle a 4.6-point favorite, projecting a 75-70 final, and gives La Salle a 65% chance to win. The betting market has La Salle favored by 1.5 with a total of 153. The model leans La Salle -1.5 and Under 153.

Players to watch: Cam Scott of Temple, 15.5 points a game; Gavin Griffiths of Temple, 6.6 points a game; Baboucarr Njie of Temple, 5.6 points a game.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Temple Owls 7035% to win La Salle Explorers 7565% to win
LAS -4.6model spread
145.5model total
70possessions
LAS -1.5market · 10 books
FavoriteLAS -1.53.1

Model makes it LAS -4.6; the market says LAS -1.5. That is 3.1 points of daylight toward LAS, a strong lean on the favorite.

Under 1537.5

Model total 145.5 against a market 153: a big lean to the under by 7.5.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

TEMLAS
Net rating-8.8 #270-7.5 #253
Offense99.0 #296103.0 #224
Defense107.8 #214110.5 #266
Tempo69.2 #26171.0 #141
Games this season33
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

SpreadTotal
First seenLAS -1.8151.0
Now (10 books)LAS -1.5153.0
ModelLAS -4.6145.5

Every book's price →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Temple Owls30same
La Salle Explorersnon-American team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.