Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Away · model win chance 37%
76
Home · model win chance 63%
80
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $11 · Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 7637% to win Florida Atlantic Owls 8063% to win
FAU -3.9model spread
156.5model total
71possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

FGCUFAU
Net rating-4.1 #207-4.1 #205
Offense107.7 #144104.9 #191
Defense111.8 #287109.0 #244
Tempo69.5 #24171.5 #101
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesnon-American team, not tracked
Florida Atlantic Owls30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.