New Mexico Lobos
Away · model win chance 63%
80
Home · model win chance 37%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $46 · Charles Koch Arena, Wichita, KS · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
New Mexico Lobos 8063% to win Wichita State Shockers 7637% to win
UNM -4.1model spread
156.5model total
73possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UNMWICH
Net rating+20.9 #29+9.9 #80
Offense117.5 #35111.6 #81
Defense96.6 #39101.7 #91
Tempo72.5 #6070.5 #175
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
New Mexico Lobosnon-American team, not tracked
Wichita State Shockers2589same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.