George Mason Patriots
Home · model win chance 50%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $12
· EagleBank Arena, Fairfax, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETGMU -0.1model spread
150.9model total
69possessions
No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Zayden High USF · F
+10.5#2 overall in American
Offensive engine
Josh Omojafo USF · G
+6.6#1 offense in American
Defensive anchor
Mike James USF · G
+2.2#22 defense in American
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| USF | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +11.4 #75 | +6.1 #100 |
| Offense | 117.3 #38 | 106.5 #167 |
| Defense | 105.9 #172 | 100.4 #73 |
| Tempo | 72.2 #76 | 67.3 #335 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When American lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | 3 | 809 | same |
| George Mason Patriots | non-American team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.