Utah Valley Wolverines
Neutral · model win chance 63%
77
Neutral · model win chance 37%
73
Preview · Fri 11/20, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Utah Valley Wolverines 7763% to win East Carolina Pirates 7337% to win
UVU -3.9model spread
150.4model total
74possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UVUECU
Net rating+4.3 #120-0.9 #165
Offense108.5 #124100.5 #274
Defense104.1 #135101.4 #86
Tempo72.6 #5972.0 #85
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Utah Valley Wolverinesnon-American team, not tracked
East Carolina Pirates50same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.