Neutral · model win chance 41%
71
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Neutral · model win chance 59%
73
Preview · Fri 11/20, 12:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Temple Owls 7141% to win Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 7359% to win
MTSU -2.7model spread
143.8model total
68possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

TEMMTSU
Net rating-8.8 #270-4.8 #219
Offense99.0 #296105.7 #175
Defense107.8 #214110.5 #265
Tempo69.2 #26169.3 #255
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Temple Owls40same
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersnon-American team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.