Howard Bison
Neutral · model win chance 65%
71
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $32
· Ocean Center, Daytona Beach, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETHOW -4.5model spread
137.9model total
68possessions
No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ege Demir DUQ · C
+4.0#35 overall in A-10
Offensive engine
Yoav Berman DUQ · F
+1.6#45 offense in A-10
Defensive anchor
Kerem Konan DUQ · F
+1.0#59 defense in A-10
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| HOW | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.3 #151 | -6.3 #238 |
| Offense | 102.9 #225 | 101.2 #267 |
| Defense | 102.6 #111 | 107.5 #208 |
| Tempo | 70.5 #176 | 68.1 #303 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Bison | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Duquesne Dukes | 3 | 778 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.