Howard vs. Davidson prediction: model has Davidson by 16
Howard visits Davidson (3-0) at John M. Belk Arena in Davidson Saturday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Davidson a 15.8-point favorite, projecting a 76-60 final, and gives Davidson a 91% chance to win. The betting market has Davidson favored by 10.5 with a total of 141.5. The model leans Davidson -10.5 and Under 141.5.
Players to watch: Josh Scovens of Davidson, 15 points a game; Ian Platteeuw of Davidson, 11.4 points a game; Jackson Keith of Davidson, 5.7 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
HOW 61, DAV 77model score
-15.6model spread (home)
137.6model total
21.6points off the final margin
FavoriteDAV -10.55.1LostUnder 141.53.9Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-9.0
141.0
our snapshots
Latest
+4.5
121.5
1200
-4000
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-10.5
141.5
-375
295
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -6 (home)ATS HOW coveredTotal 122 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
HOW
non-MAC team, not tracked
DAV
3
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
