Neutral · model win chance 32%
72
Utah Utes
Neutral · model win chance 68%
78
Preview · Fri 11/20, 5:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN2 · Tickets from $93 · TD Arena, Charleston, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
Dayton Flyers 7232% to win Utah Utes 7868% to win
UTAH -5.8model spread
149.6model total
68possessions

No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

DAYUTAH
Net rating-3.7 #201+4.8 #116
Offense107.9 #137108.4 #129
Defense111.6 #283103.6 #130
Tempo70.7 #16867.8 #314
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Dayton Flyers2537same
Utah Utesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.