Wagner Seahawks
Away · model win chance 10%
60
Home · model win chance 90%
76
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $20 · Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena, Philadelphia, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
Wagner Seahawks 6010% to win Saint Joseph's Hawks 7690% to win
JOES -15.3model spread
135.9model total
71possessions

No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WAGJOES
Net rating-12.0 #298+4.1 #121
Offense96.3 #321101.2 #266
Defense108.3 #22597.1 #42
Tempo69.2 #25972.3 #70
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Wagner Seahawksnon-MAC team, not tracked
Saint Joseph's Hawks20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.