Saint Joseph's beat Pennsylvania 83-77 at Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena.
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, native Khaafiq Myers led Saint Joseph's with 30 points and 7 assists. Michael Zanoni had 32 points and 6 3-pointers for Pennsylvania. Brooklyn, New York, native Jaiden Glover-Toscano led all players with 8 rebounds for Saint Joseph's.
Saint Joseph's covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 4.1 points.
Pennsylvania vs. Saint Joseph's prediction: model has Saint Joseph's by 10
Pennsylvania visits Saint Joseph's (3-0) at Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena in Philadelphia Saturday at 6:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Saint Joseph's a 9.6-point favorite, projecting a 78-68 final, and gives Saint Joseph's a 79% chance to win. The betting market has Saint Joseph's favored by 4 with a total of 152. The model leans Saint Joseph's -4.0 and Under 152.
Players to watch: Austin Williford of Saint Joseph's, 7 points a game; Sean Logan of Saint Joseph's, 6 points a game; Logan Carey of Saint Joseph's, 4.4 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
PENN 67, JOES 78model score
-10.1model spread (home)
145.0model total
4.1points off the final margin
FavoriteJOES -3.56.6WonUnder 151.56.5Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-5.0
152.5
our snapshots
Latest
-4.5
160.5
-1430
550
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-3.5
151.5
-175
145
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin +6 (home)ATS JOES coveredTotal 160 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
PENN
non-MAC team, not tracked
JOES
2
98
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
