Neutral · model win chance 71%
76
Liberty Flames
Neutral · model win chance 29%
69
Preview · Fri 11/20, 4:30 PM ET · How to watch: CBSSN · Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs, WV · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
Rhode Island Rams 7671% to win Liberty Flames 6929% to win
URI -6.5model spread
144.5model total
65possessions

No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

URILIB
Net rating+10.2 #78+0.3 #153
Offense109.3 #116112.3 #75
Defense99.1 #56112.0 #290
Tempo69.2 #26066.6 #351
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Rhode Island Rams4531same
Liberty Flamesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.