Princeton vs. Rhode Island prediction: model has Rhode Island by 13
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Princeton visits Rhode Island (4-0) at Thomas M. Ryan Center in Kingston Sunday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Rhode Island a 13-point favorite, projecting a 72-59 final, and gives Rhode Island a 86% chance to win. The betting market has Rhode Island favored by 7.5 with a total of 137.5. The model leans Rhode Island -7.5 and Under 137.5.
Players to watch: Matas Deniusas of Rhode Island, 14 points a game; Dylan Williamson of Rhode Island, 13.8 points a game; Jason Fontenet II of Rhode Island, 10.2 points a game.
Model makes it URI -13.0; the market says URI -7.5. That is 5.5 points of daylight toward URI, a big lean on the favorite.
Under 137.55.6
Model total 131.9 against a market 137.5: a big lean to the under by 5.6.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
PRIN
URI
Net rating
-4.2 #208
+10.2 #78
Offense
99.8 #281
109.3 #116
Defense
104.0 #133
99.1 #56
Tempo
66.9 #342
69.2 #260
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
