St. Bonaventure rolled past Lafayette 81-58 at Reilly Center.
Fayetteville, North Carolina, native Ari Fulton led St. Bonaventure with 20 points and 9 rebounds. Beckett Currie had 16 points for Lafayette. Hamburg, New York, native Benjamin Bill led all players with 9 rebounds for St. Bonaventure.
St. Bonaventure had 17 fast-break points to Lafayette's 1. St. Bonaventure covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 3.0 points.
Lafayette vs. St. Bonaventure prediction: model has St. Bonaventure by 20
Lafayette visits St. Bonaventure (2-1) at Reilly Center in Saint Bonaventure Saturday at 4 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes St. Bonaventure a 20-point favorite, projecting an 80-60 final, and gives St. Bonaventure a 95% chance to win. The betting market has St. Bonaventure favored by 16 with a total of 144. The model leans St. Bonaventure -16.0 and Under 144.
Players to watch: Benjamin Bill of St. Bonaventure, 17.8 points a game; Zach Philipkoski of St. Bonaventure, 16.5 points a game; Ilia Ermakov of St. Bonaventure, 5.7 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
LAF 60, SBU 80model score
-20.0model spread (home)
139.4model total
3.0points off the final margin
FavoriteSBU -16.53.5WonUnder 144.55.1Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-15.0
137.5
our snapshots
Latest
-22.0
139.5
-100000
11011
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-16.5
144.5
-1650
950
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin +23 (home)ATS SBU coveredTotal 139 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
LAF
non-MAC team, not tracked
SBU
2
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
