High Point vs. Saint Louis prediction: model has Saint Louis by 15
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
High Point visits Saint Louis (3-0) at Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis Sunday at 3 PM ET on ESPN2.
Our model makes Saint Louis a 14.8-point favorite, projecting an 86-72 final, and gives Saint Louis a 89% chance to win. The betting market has Saint Louis favored by 7 with a total of 164.5. The model leans Saint Louis -7.0 and Under 164.5.
Players to watch: Trey Green of Saint Louis, 16.1 points a game; Amari McCottry of Saint Louis, 15.1 points a game; Kellen Thames of Saint Louis, 13.7 points a game.
Model makes it SLU -14.8; the market says SLU -7. That is 7.8 points of daylight toward SLU, a big lean on the favorite.
Under 164.56.3
Model total 158.2 against a market 164.5: a big lean to the under by 6.3.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
HPU
SLU
Net rating
+13.2 #70
+27.5 #10
Offense
107.3 #152
124.7 #3
Defense
94.1 #28
97.2 #43
Tempo
70.9 #150
74.3 #17
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
