Away · model win chance 15%
73
Virginia Tech Hokies
Home · model win chance 85%
85
Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ACCNX · Tickets from $19 · Cassell Coliseum, Blacksburg, VA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Richmond vs. Virginia Tech prediction: model has Virginia Tech by 12

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Richmond (3-1) visits Virginia Tech at Cassell Coliseum in Blacksburg Monday at 7 PM ET on ACCNX.

Our model makes Virginia Tech a 12.2-point favorite, projecting an 85-73 final, and gives Virginia Tech a 85% chance to win.

Players to watch: Jamie Kaiser Jr. of Richmond, 15.7 points a game; Andrew Ball of Richmond, 12 points a game; Derin Saran of Richmond, 8.4 points a game.

Richmond is playing its second straight road game and traveled about 484 miles to Blacksburg.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:02 AM ET
Richmond Spiders 7315% to win Virginia Tech Hokies 8585% to win
VT -12.2model spread
157.3model total
72possessions

No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

RICHVT
Net rating+8.5 #86+20.1 #34
Offense110.3 #105119.4 #22
Defense101.9 #9499.3 #59
Tempo71.3 #11470.8 #152
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Richmond Spiders3484same
Virginia Tech Hokiesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.