Ferrum Panthers
Away · model win chance 0%
48
Home · model win chance 100%
107
Preview · Mon 11/16, 12 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $8 · Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Ferrum vs. George Washington prediction: model has George Washington by 59

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Ferrum visits George Washington (4-0) at Charles E. Smith Center in Washington Monday at 12 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes George Washington a 58.7-point favorite, projecting a 107-48 final. Ferrum is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: Dylan James of George Washington, 11.8 points a game; Felix Kossaras of George Washington, 9.7 points a game; Omari Witherspoon of George Washington, 7.8 points a game.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:02 AM ET
Ferrum Panthers 480% to win George Washington Revolutionaries 107100% to win
GW -58.7model spread
155.1model total
77possessions

GW is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

FCGW
Net ratingnon-D-I+21.0 #28
Offensenon-D-I114.7 #51
Defensenon-D-I93.7 #26
Temponon-D-I71.0 #147
Games this season2134
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Ferrum Panthersnon-MAC team, not tracked
George Washington Revolutionaries20same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.