San Diego Toreros
Neutral · model win chance 34%
76
Neutral · model win chance 66%
81
Preview · Sun 11/22, 2 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Tickets from $58 · Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
San Diego Toreros 7634% to win Fordham Rams 8166% to win
FOR -4.9model spread
157.4model total
69possessions

No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

USDFOR
Net rating-4.7 #217+2.4 #137
Offense110.5 #99108.4 #125
Defense115.2 #336106.0 #174
Tempo69.3 #25670.0 #212
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
San Diego Torerosnon-MAC team, not tracked
Fordham Rams0 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.