Portland Pilots
Neutral · model win chance 39%
78
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Tickets from $58
· Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETFOR -3.4model spread
160.5model total
73possessions
No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Rikus Schulte FOR · F
+6.6#10 overall in A-10
Offensive engine
Akira Jacobs FOR · F
+3.5#13 offense in A-10
Defensive anchor
Abass Bodija FOR · F
+3.0#26 defense in A-10
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| FOR | PORT | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +2.4 #137 | -2.2 #181 |
| Offense | 108.4 #125 | 107.4 #150 |
| Defense | 106.0 #174 | 109.6 #256 |
| Tempo | 70.0 #212 | 73.4 #37 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fordham Rams | 3 | 0 | same |
| Portland Pilots | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.