Buffalo Bulls
Away · model win chance 6%
66
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+, YES
· Tickets from $40
· Reilly Center, Saint Bonaventure, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETSBU -18.2model spread
150.8model total
70possessions
No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Zach Philipkoski SBU · G
+5.0#24 overall in A-10
Offensive engine
Benjamin Bill SBU · C
+3.2#16 offense in A-10
Defensive anchor
Ari Fulton SBU · G
+3.3#23 defense in A-10
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BUF | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.3 #278 | +11.1 #76 |
| Offense | 101.3 #265 | 112.5 #70 |
| Defense | 110.6 #268 | 101.4 #85 |
| Tempo | 71.9 #86 | 68.9 #272 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 4 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.