USC Trojans
Home · model win chance 98%
88
Preview · Thu 11/19, 11 PM ET
· How to watch: BTN
· Tickets from $7
· Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETUSC -25.0model spread
150.5model total
74possessions
No line yet. UAC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Leroy Kelly IV TAR · G
+4.3#7 overall in UAC
Offensive engine
Trey Harris TAR · G
-1.1#65 offense in UAC
Defensive anchor
TJ Cope TAR · G
+0.7#30 defense in UAC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated UAC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TAR | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.3 #306 | +16.3 #49 |
| Offense | 96.2 #322 | 113.8 #61 |
| Defense | 108.5 #234 | 97.5 #45 |
| Tempo | 70.8 #154 | 73.2 #39 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When UAC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarleton State Texans | 2 | 1,436 | -2 h |
| USC Trojans | non-UAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.