Tarleton State at USC
Model: USC -25.0, total 150.5, projected TAR 63, USC 88, win chance TAR 2% / USC 98%
Tarleton State 3-1, W2
Scoring 81.2, allowing 70.5
Model: net -12.3 (No. 306 D-I), off No. 322, def No. 234, pace No. 154
Tarleton State Texans is playing its second straight road game and traveled about 1,436 miles to Los Angeles and crossed 2.0 time zones.
Last 4
| 11/13 | vs Alcorn State | W 73-69 |
| 11/10 | vs UT Dallas | W 76-57 |
| 11/6 | at San Diego | L 90-96 |
| 11/2 | vs Cameron | W 86-60 |
Rotation (by minutes)
| # | Player | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Leroy Kelly IV G Dallas, TX · last: 6 pts vs ALCN |
31.2 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 2.8 |
| 2 | Franck Emmou G Arlington, TX · last: 17 pts vs ALCN |
29.0 | 12.2 | 1.2 | 3.5 |
| 3 | TJ Cope G Boston, MA · last: 7 pts vs ALCN |
26.0 | 10.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 |
| 0 | Adrian Shackleton G Palm Beach, FL · last: 2 pts vs ALCN |
24.7 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| 13 | Kade Douglas G Lancaster, TX · last: 7 pts vs ALCN |
21.5 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 7 | Trey Harris G Houston, TX · last: 15 pts vs ALCN |
20.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| 44 | Josh Hayes F Gainesville, FL · last: 11 pts vs ALCN |
19.0 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 0.3 |
| 8 | Brett Freeman G Bronx, NY · last: 3 pts vs ALCN |
17.8 | 10.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 11 | Jac Mani F Los Angeles, CA · last: 1 pts vs ALCN |
16.3 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| 35 | Ethan Carter F Fairburn, GA · last: 2 pts vs ALCN |
11.8 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
USC 3-0
Scoring 88.3, allowing 71.3
Model: net +16.3 (No. 49 D-I), off No. 61, def No. 45, pace No. 39
Last 3
| 11/11 | at California | W 77-65 |
| 11/8 | N Wichita State | W 93-86 |
| 11/2 | vs Milwaukee | W 95-63 |
Outside the UAC: we track this team's results and rating, not its roster. Its record counts the games in our D-I results file.
* conference game. Stats from ESPN box scores through the last final; model and market from Hardwood Bricks's ratings and our capture of sportsbook lines. Free to use on air and in notes with credit to Hardwood Bricks.