Away · model win chance 40%
72
Canisius Golden Griffins
Home · model win chance 60%
75
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $25 · Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
Western Illinois Leathernecks 7240% to win Canisius Golden Griffins 7560% to win
CAN -3.0model spread
146.6model total
70possessions

No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WIUCAN
Net rating-18.4 #348-19.5 #353
Offense94.9 #33196.8 #316
Defense113.3 #317116.4 #344
Tempo70.4 #18369.9 #213
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Western Illinois Leathernecks0 short0+1 h
Canisius Golden Griffinsnon-OVC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.