Away · model win chance 22%
74
Northern Iowa Panthers
Home · model win chance 78%
84
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $24 · McLeod Center, Cedar Falls, IA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
Lindenwood Lions 7422% to win Northern Iowa Panthers 8478% to win
UNI -9.3model spread
158.2model total
72possessions

No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LINUNI
Net rating-7.8 #258-0.4 #162
Offense99.2 #292111.6 #78
Defense107.0 #195112.0 #291
Tempo72.5 #5970.4 #186
Games this season55
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Lindenwood Lions3200same
Northern Iowa Panthersnon-OVC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.