Ecclesia Royals
Away · model win chance 0%
53
Home · model win chance 100%
96
Preview · Sun 11/15, 6 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Kathleen and Tom Elam Center, Martin, TN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Ecclesia vs. UT Martin prediction: model has UT Martin by 43

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Ecclesia visits UT Martin (2-2) at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center in Martin Sunday at 6 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes UT Martin a 42.5-point favorite, projecting a 96-53 final. Ecclesia is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: Kaan Onat of UT Martin, 12.2 points a game; Sasha Savkov of UT Martin, 10.4 points a game; Nikas Stuknys of UT Martin, 4.8 points a game.

UT Martin is on one day of rest.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
Ecclesia Royals 530% to win UT Martin Skyhawks 96100% to win
UTM -42.5model spread
148.6model total
74possessions

UTM is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ECCLUTM
Net ratingnon-D-I+1.4 #141
Offensenon-D-I104.0 #213
Defensenon-D-I102.6 #109
Temponon-D-I68.4 #289
Games this season2164
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Ecclesia Royalsnon-OVC team, not tracked
UT Martin Skyhawks1 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.