North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Home · model win chance 52%
75
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: Summit League Network, Midco Sports Plus
· Tickets from $27
· Betty Engelstad Sioux Center, Grand Forks, ND
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ETUND -0.5model spread
149.9model total
68possessions
UND -1market · 1 books
UnderdogSIUE +1.00.5
Model makes it UND -0.5; the market says UND -1. That is 0.5 points of daylight toward SIUE, a slight lean on the underdog.
Under 1500.1
Model total 149.9 against a market 150: a slight lean to the under by 0.1.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Brennan Miller SIUE · F
+6.1#1 overall in OVC
Offensive engine
David Wilson SIUE · F
+1.9#5 offense in OVC
Defensive anchor
Dehrio McCaskill SIUE · G
+0.9#26 defense in OVC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SIUE | UND | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -7.4 #256 | -12.1 #300 |
| Offense | 99.9 #277 | 105.7 #172 |
| Defense | 107.4 #205 | 117.8 #354 |
| Tempo | 68.3 #293 | 70.4 #181 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
| Spread | Total | |
|---|---|---|
| First seen | UND -1 | 150.0 |
| Now (1 books) | UND -1 | 150.0 |
| Model | UND -0.5 | 149.9 |
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville Cougars | 3 | 1,359 | same |
| North Dakota Fighting Hawks | non-OVC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.