Western Michigan vs. Southern Indiana prediction: model has Western Michigan by 4
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Western Michigan visits Southern Indiana (1-3) at Liberty Arena (IN) in Evansville Sunday at 4:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Western Michigan a 4.2-point favorite, projecting a 69-65 final, and gives Western Michigan a 64% chance to win. The betting market has Western Michigan favored by 7 with a total of 139.5. The model leans Southern Indiana +7.0 and Under 139.5.
Players to watch: Fredy-Salam Sylla of Southern Indiana, 7 points a game; Josiah Dunham of Southern Indiana, 6.4 points a game; Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams of Southern Indiana, 5.5 points a game.
Model makes it WMU -4.2; the market says WMU -7. That is 2.8 points of daylight toward USI, a lean lean on the underdog.
Under 139.54.9
Model total 134.6 against a market 139.5: a strong lean to the under by 4.9.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
WMU
USI
Net rating
+2.3 #136
-9.3 #276
Offense
107.3 #153
94.6 #335
Defense
104.9 #152
103.8 #131
Tempo
67.9 #311
70.2 #193
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
