Miami (OH) Hamilton vs. Morehead State prediction: model has Morehead State by 29
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Miami (OH) Hamilton visits Morehead State (2-2) at Ellis T. Johnson Arena in Morehead Monday at 11 AM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Morehead State a 29.2-point favorite, projecting a 94-65 final, and gives Morehead State a 99% chance to win. Miami (OH) Hamilton is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: Clayton Parker of Morehead State, 15.9 points a game; Dalman Alexander of Morehead State, 7 points a game; Tayvion Tangiora of Morehead State, 4.2 points a game.
MORE is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
MHAM
MORE
Net rating
non-D-I
-16.0 #337
Offense
non-D-I
103.3 #220
Defense
non-D-I
119.3 #359
Tempo
non-D-I
67.7 #318
Games this season
216
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
