St. Thomas Tommies
Home · model win chance 70%
84
Preview · Thu 11/19, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: Summit League Network, Midco Sports Plus
· Tickets from $42
· Lee & Penny Anderson Arena, Saint Paul, MN
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ETSTMN -6.5model spread
162.3model total
72possessions
No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Darrion Sutton SEMO · F
+2.3#7 overall in OVC
Offensive engine
Alonzo Clawson-Smith SEMO · G
-0.3#41 offense in OVC
Defensive anchor
Clayton Jewell SEMO · F
+4.4#3 defense in OVC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SEMO | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -5.4 #224 | -1.9 #176 |
| Offense | 101.6 #258 | 113.3 #64 |
| Defense | 107.1 #199 | 115.1 #337 |
| Tempo | 73.0 #44 | 69.3 #249 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 2 | 559 | same |
| St. Thomas Tommies | non-OVC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.