South Florida Bulls
Home · model win chance 85%
93
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $13
· Yuengling Center, Tampa, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ETUSF -12.6model spread
174.1model total
78possessions
No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kavien Jones TNST · F
+4.6#3 overall in OVC
Offensive engine
Aaron Bradshaw TNST · F
+2.9#3 offense in OVC
Defensive anchor
Arterio Morris TNST · G
+1.8#14 defense in OVC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TNST | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.6 #149 | +11.4 #76 |
| Offense | 106.7 #162 | 117.3 #36 |
| Defense | 106.1 #173 | 105.9 #172 |
| Tempo | 75.9 #3 | 72.2 #76 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee State Tigers | 3 | 560 | +1 h |
| South Florida Bulls | non-OVC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.