Neutral · model win chance 47%
71
Southern Illinois Salukis
Neutral · model win chance 53%
72
Preview · Fri 11/20, 5:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, Virgin Islands · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
UT Martin Skyhawks 7147% to win Southern Illinois Salukis 7253% to win
SIU -0.9model spread
142.2model total
69possessions

No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UTMSIU
Net rating+1.4 #141+2.8 #134
Offense104.0 #213107.5 #147
Defense102.6 #109104.7 #147
Tempo68.4 #28970.6 #172
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UT Martin Skyhawks40same
Southern Illinois Salukisnon-OVC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.