Away · model win chance 0%
61
Illinois Fighting Illini
Home · model win chance 100%
100
Preview · Fri 11/20, 9 PM ET · How to watch: BTN · Tickets from $31 · State Farm Center, Champaign, IL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
Eastern Illinois Panthers 610% to win Illinois Fighting Illini 100100% to win
ILL -39.0model spread
160.9model total
73possessions

No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

EIUILL
Net rating-14.5 #327+33.3 #3
Offense96.9 #315128.2 #1
Defense111.4 #28395.0 #30
Tempo69.7 #22573.9 #27
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Eastern Illinois Panthers2285same
Illinois Fighting Illininon-OVC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.