Away · model win chance 1%
58
Texas Longhorns
Home · model win chance 99%
87
Preview · Sun 11/22, 3 PM ET · How to watch: SECN+ · Tickets from $10 · Moody Center, Austin, TX · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:37 PM ET
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles 581% to win Texas Longhorns 8799% to win
TEX -28.9model spread
145.4model total
71possessions

No line yet. OVC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 122 rated OVC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

USITEX
Net rating-9.3 #276+26.1 #14
Offense94.6 #335122.4 #9
Defense103.8 #13196.3 #34
Tempo70.2 #19371.0 #143
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When OVC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles3788same
Texas Longhornsnon-OVC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.