Vermont State Lyndon Hornets
Away · model win chance 0%
59
Home · model win chance 100%
92
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET · How to watch: NEC Front Row · Detrick Gymnasium, New Britain, CT · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Vermont State Lyndon Hornets 590% to win Central Connecticut Blue Devils 92100% to win
CCSU -32.9model spread
150.1model total
72possessions

CCSU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

VTSLCCSU
Net ratingnon-D-I-10.1 #286
Offensenon-D-I102.3 #248
Defensenon-D-I112.4 #300
Temponon-D-I66.3 #355
Games this season2165
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Vermont State Lyndon Hornetsnon-NEC team, not tracked
Central Connecticut Blue Devils1 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.