Away · model win chance 10%
60
Saint Joseph's Hawks
Home · model win chance 90%
76
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $20 · Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena, Philadelphia, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Wagner Seahawks 6010% to win Saint Joseph's Hawks 7690% to win
JOES -15.5model spread
136.2model total
71possessions

No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WAGJOES
Net rating-12.2 #305+4.1 #123
Offense96.2 #320101.1 #268
Defense108.4 #23397.1 #41
Tempo69.3 #25072.3 #71
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Wagner Seahawks568same
Saint Joseph's Hawksnon-NEC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.