Western Illinois Leathernecks
Neutral · model win chance 41%
65
Preview · Sat 11/21, 1:30 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ETMERC -2.7model spread
132.3model total
67possessions
No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Deraje Agbaosi MERC · F
-0.9#32 overall in NEC
Offensive engine
Shane Kirker MERC · F
-0.6#42 offense in NEC
Defensive anchor
Hunter Te Ratana MERC · G
+1.8#8 defense in NEC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MERC | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.4 #324 | -18.4 #348 |
| Offense | 92.9 #350 | 94.9 #331 |
| Defense | 107.3 #204 | 113.3 #317 |
| Tempo | 67.2 #336 | 70.4 #183 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 0 short | 0 | same |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | non-NEC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.