Fairfield Stags
Away · model win chance 28%
64
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET
· How to watch: NEC Front Row
· Brooklyn Athletic Center, Brooklyn, NY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ETLIU -7.1model spread
134.3model total
71possessions
No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ryan Bewley LIU · F
+4.8#1 overall in NEC
Offensive engine
Tyrell Bowles LIU · F
+0.8#9 offense in NEC
Defensive anchor
Justin Johnson LIU · F
-0.3#48 defense in NEC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| FAIR | LIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -15.5 #333 | -11.0 #292 |
| Offense | 93.0 #348 | 94.1 #341 |
| Defense | 108.4 #232 | 105.0 #154 |
| Tempo | 70.4 #184 | 71.1 #135 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | non-NEC team, not tracked | ||
| Long Island University Sharks | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.