Away · model win chance 1%
63
Missouri Tigers
Home · model win chance 99%
92
Preview · Fri 11/20, 8 PM ET · How to watch: SECN+ · Tickets from $8 · Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Le Moyne Dolphins 631% to win Missouri Tigers 9299% to win
MIZ -28.7model spread
154.6model total
71possessions

No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LEMMIZ
Net rating-9.2 #273+25.8 #16
Offense99.4 #291123.8 #6
Defense108.6 #23898.0 #48
Tempo71.7 #9269.6 #234
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Le Moyne Dolphins2267-1 h
Missouri Tigersnon-NEC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.