Evansville Purple Aces
Home · model win chance 53%
74
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $14
· Ford Center, Evansville, IN
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ETEVAN -0.9model spread
147.4model total
70possessions
No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ty Francis LEM · F
+1.9#7 overall in NEC
Offensive engine
Leandro Gysel LEM · G
-0.3#32 offense in NEC
Defensive anchor
Damien King LEM · G
+2.4#3 defense in NEC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LEM | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.2 #273 | -13.3 #316 |
| Offense | 99.4 #291 | 99.9 #279 |
| Defense | 108.6 #238 | 113.2 #316 |
| Tempo | 71.7 #92 | 69.0 #265 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne Dolphins | 2 | 693 | -1 h |
| Evansville Purple Aces | non-NEC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.