Away · model win chance 8%
63
UIC Flames
Home · model win chance 92%
80
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $15 · Credit Union 1 Arena, Chicago, IL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Chicago State Cougars 638% to win UIC Flames 8092% to win
UIC -16.8model spread
143.7model total
66possessions

No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CHSTUIC
Net rating-16.1 #339+3.7 #125
Offense100.0 #276107.8 #140
Defense116.1 #342104.1 #137
Tempo68.3 #29668.5 #284
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Chicago State Cougars21,741same
UIC Flamesnon-NEC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.