Chicago State vs. Loyola Marymount prediction: model has Loyola Marymount by 10
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Chicago State (2-3) visits Loyola Marymount at Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles Sunday at 4 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Loyola Marymount a 10.2-point favorite, projecting a 79-69 final, and gives Loyola Marymount a 80% chance to win. The betting market has Loyola Marymount favored by 27.5 with a total of 136. The model leans Chicago State +27.5 and Over 136.
Chicago State is on one day of rest and is playing its third straight road game.
Model makes it LMU -10.2; the market says LMU -27.5. That is 17.3 points of daylight toward CHST, a big lean on the underdog.
Over 13611.8
Model total 147.8 against a market 136: a big lean to the over by 11.8.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CHST
LMU
Net rating
-16.1 #339
-6.6 #246
Offense
100.0 #276
103.5 #217
Defense
116.1 #342
110.1 #261
Tempo
68.3 #296
69.9 #211
Games this season
5
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
