Away · model win chance 11%
66
Maryland Terrapins
Home · model win chance 89%
81
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: B1G+ · Tickets from $6 · XFINITY Center, College Park, MD · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:39 PM ET
Wagner Seahawks 6611% to win Maryland Terrapins 8189% to win
MD -14.9model spread
147.1model total
70possessions

No line yet. NEC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated NEC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WAGMD
Net rating-12.2 #305+3.7 #126
Offense96.2 #320110.6 #99
Defense108.4 #233107.0 #192
Tempo69.3 #25070.9 #148
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When NEC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Wagner Seahawks2116same
Maryland Terrapinsnon-NEC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.