Abraham Baldwin Agricultural vs. FGCU prediction: model has FGCU by 39
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Abraham Baldwin Agricultural visits FGCU (1-3) at Alico Arena in Fort Myers Sunday at 12 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes FGCU a 38.7-point favorite, projecting a 100-61 final. Abraham Baldwin Agricultural is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: Chase Konieczny of FGCU, 16.7 points a game; Justin Houser of FGCU, 15.3 points a game; Bryson Lucas of FGCU, 14.6 points a game.
FGCU is on one day of rest.
FGCU and in-state foe Stetson played for the 2016 ASUN title at Alico Arena, and the Eagles needed overtime to win 80-78 and claim the NCAA bid.
FGCU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
ABAC
FGCU
Net rating
non-D-I
-4.1 #207
Offense
non-D-I
107.7 #144
Defense
non-D-I
111.8 #287
Tempo
non-D-I
69.5 #241
Games this season
213
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
