South Alabama Jaguars
Home · model win chance 64%
75
Preview · Sun 11/22, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $37
· Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETUSA -4.4model spread
145.5model total
65possessions
No line yet. ASUN lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Sano Rutatika UWF · F
+0.4#26 overall in ASUN
Offensive engine
Isaiah Alexander UWF · F
-0.2#53 offense in ASUN
Defensive anchor
Daylon Dickerson UWF · F
+1.9#5 defense in ASUN
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UWF | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.0 #186 | -1.6 #170 |
| Offense | 104.2 #209 | 111.2 #87 |
| Defense | 107.2 #201 | 112.8 #299 |
| Tempo | 70.2 #198 | 65.3 #364 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When ASUN lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Florida Argonauts | 4 | 53 | same |
| South Alabama Jaguars | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.