Little Rock Trojans
Away · model win chance 49%
81
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· UNF Arena, Jacksonville, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETUNF -0.3model spread
162.8model total
73possessions
No line yet. ASUN lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mason Lee UNF · G
+2.3#7 overall in ASUN
Offensive engine
BJ Plummer UNF · G
+0.5#37 offense in ASUN
Defensive anchor
Mason Watkins UNF · G
+1.7#7 defense in ASUN
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LR | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -10.5 #291 | -15.4 #333 |
| Offense | 109.7 #110 | 94.6 #340 |
| Defense | 120.2 #363 | 110.0 #257 |
| Tempo | 67.9 #310 | 75.6 #7 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When ASUN lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| North Florida Ospreys | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.