The Citadel edged North Florida 77-74 on the road in Jacksonville.
Marcus Banks led The Citadel with 21 points. JR Bartelus had 14 points for North Florida. Joe Hurlburt led all players with 9 rebounds for The Citadel.
The Citadel had 18 fast-break points to North Florida's 7. The Citadel covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 6.9 points.
A fall 2022 renovation of UNF Arena added CSI Companies Court along with new sound and lighting systems for North Florida's home.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
The Citadel vs. North Florida prediction: model has North Florida by 4
The Citadel visits North Florida (1-2) at UNF Arena in Jacksonville Saturday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes North Florida a 3.9-point favorite, projecting a 78-74 final, and gives North Florida a 63% chance to win. The betting market has North Florida favored by 4.5 with a total of 155.5. The model leans The Citadel +4.5 and Under 155.5.
Players to watch: JR Bartelus of North Florida, 9 points a game; Mason Watkins of North Florida, 8.3 points a game; BJ Plummer of North Florida, 8 points a game.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-3.5
153.0
our snapshots
Latest
+2.5
157.0
5955.5
-50925.0
our snapshots (3 books)
Close
-3.5
155.5
-175
145
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -3 (home)ATS CIT coveredTotal 151 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
CIT
non-MAC team, not tracked
UNF
4
330
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
