Little Rock Trojans
Away · model win chance 24%
71
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Swisher Gymnasium, Jacksonville, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ETJAX -8.3model spread
150.5model total
66possessions
No line yet. ASUN lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
James Morrow JAX · F
+2.8#3 overall in ASUN
Offensive engine
Hayden Wood JAX · G
+0.4#42 offense in ASUN
Defensive anchor
Nehemiah Turner JAX · F
+1.1#14 defense in ASUN
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LR | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -10.5 #291 | -3.2 #189 |
| Offense | 109.7 #110 | 104.2 #208 |
| Defense | 120.2 #363 | 107.4 #204 |
| Tempo | 67.9 #310 | 68.0 #308 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When ASUN lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 2 | 270 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.