Away · model win chance 0%
62
Louisville Cardinals
Home · model win chance 100%
93
Preview · Thu 11/19, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ACC Network · Tickets from $7 · KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:30 AM ET
Stetson Hatters 620% to win Louisville Cardinals 93100% to win
LOU -31.7model spread
154.7model total
70possessions

No line yet. ASUN lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

STETLOU
Net rating-16.6 #341+23.4 #22
Offense101.6 #258118.7 #26
Defense118.2 #35795.3 #32
Tempo68.2 #30071.9 #88
Games this season42
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When ASUN lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Stetson Hatters2687same
Louisville Cardinalsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
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