Away · model win chance 12%
69
Georgia Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 88%
83
Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: SEC Network · Tickets from $6 · Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, GA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Jacksonville vs. Georgia prediction: model has Georgia by 14

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Jacksonville (2-1) visits Georgia at Stegeman Coliseum in Athens Monday at 7 PM ET on SEC Network.

Our model makes Georgia a 14-point favorite, projecting an 83-69 final, and gives Georgia a 88% chance to win.

Players to watch: Hayden Wood of Jacksonville, 16.1 points a game; Nehemiah Turner of Jacksonville, 10.9 points a game; James Morrow of Jacksonville, 7.5 points a game.

Joe Williams coached Jacksonville from 1964 to 1970 and later took Furman to the NCAA tournament five times.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:00 AM ET
Jacksonville Dolphins 6912% to win Georgia Bulldogs 8388% to win
UGA -14.0model spread
151.3model total
69possessions

No line yet. ASUN lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 112 rated ASUN players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

JAXUGA
Net rating-3.2 #189+11.6 #74
Offense104.2 #208114.8 #50
Defense107.4 #204103.2 #123
Tempo68.0 #30871.8 #91
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When ASUN lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Jacksonville Dolphins6270same
Georgia Bulldogsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
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