Nevada Wolf Pack
Neutral · model win chance 80%
76
Neutral · model win chance 20%
66
Preview · Mon 11/23, 4:30 PM ET · How to watch: FloSports · Tickets from $58 · Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 5:34 PM ET
Nevada Wolf Pack 7680% to win San Francisco Dons 6620% to win
NEV -9.9model spread
142.2model total
69possessions

No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

NEVSF
Net rating+10.5 #79-3.9 #201
Offense109.5 #115102.4 #244
Defense99.0 #55106.3 #176
Tempo70.4 #18269.1 #259
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Nevada Wolf Packnon-WCC team, not tracked
San Francisco Dons4427same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.